's Nick Teale uses the Bettorlogic form lab to analyse the statistics ahead of Saturday's game at Emirates Stadium.

After the 1-1 draw in Burnley on Wednesday night Abou Diaby described Saturday's home game against Hull City as a "must-win".

And statistically, Arsenal are victorious in 77 per cent of home games against teams approaching the game in the bottom six. In fact, since the start of the 2004/05 season, they've lost just once such game, a 1-0 reversal against West Ham.

The Gunners average an impressive 2.51 points per game and concede just a shade short of two goals per match at home to bottom-six sides.

But for the visitors the stats aren't so reassuring. Since gaining promotion to the Premier League, Hull have played 'Big Four' clubs on 10 occasions. They’ve lost seven and drawn two of those games.

However, their one victory did come at Emirates Stadium but that was at the height of a run of form that saw them collect 20 points in their first nine Premier League games last season. The Tigers picked up just 15 points from the 29 fixtures that followed.

This season they've averaged a point per game from their opening 17 encounters but they have collected just two points on their travels, conceding at a rate of 2.63 goals per game.

One player who appears crucial to Hull is midfielder Dean Marney. He's sat out seven Premier League games for the Tigers this term and when he hasn’t started they've shipped an average of 2.71 goals per game. That’s more than an extra goal per game compared to the average of 1.5 goals conceded when he starts.

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18 Dec 2009